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Super Investors Probabilities Fund Management, LLC
PF

Probabilities Fund Management, LLC

Quarterly 13F snapshot: US-listed longs only, no performance figures — 13F data cannot support them.

Portfolio value
$28.1M
Positions
11
Quarter ended
December 31, 2021
Filed
February 11, 2022

Reported portfolio value by quarter (16 quarters reported)

$98.8M $27.7M
Q4 17 Q4 18 Q1 20 Q1 21 Q4 21

$69.7M in Q4 2017 → $28.1M now. Hover for any quarter.

Holdings

As reported for the quarter ended December 31, 2021. Activity is the change in share count since the prior quarter's filing.

Holding % of portfolio Activity Shares Value
IQ Invesco Qqq Tr Unit Ser 1 20.2% Trimmed 8.7% 14,240 $5.67M
VI Vanguard Index Fds S&P 500 ETF Shs 19.9% Trimmed 9.7% 12,800 $5.59M
SD SPDR Dow Jones Indl Avrg ETF Ut Ser 1 19.4% Trimmed 9.4% 14,970 $5.44M
PT Proshares Tr Ultrpro Dow30 9.6% Trimmed 15% 31,740 $2.69M
DS Direxion Shs ETF Tr Drx S&P500BULL 9.5% Trimmed 23% 18,610 $2.67M
PT Proshares Tr Ultrapro Qqq 9.3% Trimmed 26% 15,790 $2.63M
Microsoft Corp 4.5% Unchanged 3,720 $1.25M
II Innovative Industrial Properte 3.9% Trimmed 19% 4,200 $1.1M
Applied Materials Inc 1.5% Unchanged 2,670 $420K
Constellation Brands Inc 1.5% Unchanged 1,624 $408K
Apple Inc 0.9% Trimmed 20% 1,400 $249K

Timeline of changes

What changed each quarter, from the filings' own share counts. Largest moves first; most recent 8 quarters.

Q4 2021

quarter ended December 31, 2021 · filed February 11, 2022

Company Action Shares changed Value of change % of portfolio
PT Proshares Tr Ultrapro Qqq Trimmed −5,510 −$916K 9.3%
DS Direxion Shs ETF Tr Drx S&P500BULL Trimmed −5,590 −$802K 9.5%
VI Vanguard Index Fds S&P 500 ETF Shs Trimmed −1,370 −$598K 19.9%
SD SPDR Dow Jones Indl Avrg ETF Ut Ser 1 Trimmed −1,560 −$567K 19.4%
IQ Invesco Qqq Tr Unit Ser 1 Trimmed −1,360 −$541K 20.2%
PT Proshares Tr Ultrpro Dow30 Trimmed −5,400 −$457K 9.6%
II Innovative Industrial Properte Trimmed −1,000 −$263K 3.9%
Apple Inc Trimmed −360 −$64K 0.9%

Q3 2021

quarter ended September 30, 2021 · filed November 12, 2021

Company Action Shares changed Value of change % of portfolio
DS Direxion Shs ETF Tr Drx S&P500BULL Trimmed −28,380 −$3.04M 9.3%
PT Proshares Tr Ultrapro Qqq Trimmed −24,080 −$3M 9.6%
PT Proshares Tr Ultrpro Dow30 Trimmed −40,630 −$2.79M 9.2%
IQ Invesco Qqq Tr Unit Ser 1 Trimmed −2,310 −$827K 20.1%
VI Vanguard Index Fds S&P 500 ETF Shs Trimmed −1,710 −$674K 20.1%
SD SPDR Dow Jones Indl Avrg ETF Ut Ser 1 Trimmed −1,680 −$568K 20.2%
VE Vertex Energy Inc Com Exited −25,227 −$334K —
UT Uber Technologies Inc Com Exited −4,000 −$200K —

Q2 2021

quarter ended June 30, 2021 · filed August 10, 2021

Company Action Shares changed Value of change % of portfolio
IQ Invesco Qqq Tr Unit Ser 1 Trimmed −11,870 −$4.21M 16.2%
VI Vanguard Index Fds S&P 500 ETF Shs Trimmed −10,180 −$4.01M 15.9%
SD SPDR Dow Jones Indl Avrg ETF Ut Ser 1 Trimmed −10,500 −$3.62M 16.0%
PT Proshares Tr Ultrpro Dow30 Added +40,990 +$3M 14.5%
PT Proshares Tr Ultrapro Qqq Trimmed −6,730 −$824K 14.2%
DS Direxion Shs ETF Tr Drx S&P500BULL Trimmed −3,260 −$347K 14.3%
VE Vertex Energy Inc Com New +25,227 +$334K 0.9%
Constellation Brands Inc Trimmed −100 −$23.4K 1.0%
Applied Materials Inc Trimmed −100 −$14.2K 1.0%

Q1 2021

quarter ended March 31, 2021 · filed May 11, 2021

Company Action Shares changed Value of change % of portfolio
PT Proshares Tr Ultrapro Qqq Added +34,260 +$3.13M 10.4%
IQ Invesco Qqq Tr Unit Ser 1 Added +9,090 +$2.9M 20.8%
VI Vanguard Index Fds S&P 500 ETF Shs Added +7,420 +$2.7M 20.8%
SD SPDR Dow Jones Indl Avrg ETF Ut Ser 1 Added +7,710 +$2.55M 20.7%
DS Direxion Shs ETF Tr Drx S&P500BULL Added +10,380 +$882K 10.4%
PT Proshares Tr Ultrpro Dow30 Added +4,700 +$603K 10.3%

Q4 2020

quarter ended December 31, 2020 · filed February 10, 2021

Company Action Shares changed Value of change % of portfolio
PT Proshares Tr Ultrapro Qqq Trimmed −5,070 −$922K 10.2%
DS Direxion Shs ETF Tr Drx S&P500BULL Trimmed −12,030 −$869K 10.3%
PT Proshares Tr Ultrpro Dow30 Trimmed −6,950 −$712K 10.3%
IQ Invesco Qqq Tr Unit Ser 1 Trimmed −2,080 −$653K 20.3%
VI Vanguard Index Fds S&P 500 ETF Shs Trimmed −1,590 −$546K 20.0%
SD SPDR Dow Jones Indl Avrg ETF Ut Ser 1 Trimmed −1,530 −$468K 20.1%
Applied Materials Inc New +2,770 +$239K 0.7%
UT Uber Technologies Inc Com New +4,000 +$204K 0.6%
Amgen Inc Exited −800 −$203K —
SS Select Sector SPDR Tr Technology Exited −1,721 −$201K —

Q3 2020

quarter ended September 30, 2020 · filed November 13, 2020

Company Action Shares changed Value of change % of portfolio
PT Proshares Tr Ultrapro Qqq Trimmed −20,330 −$2.66M 9.9%
DS Direxion Shs ETF Tr Drx S&P500BULL Trimmed −43,080 −$2.27M 10.0%
PT Proshares Tr Ultrpro Dow30 Trimmed −27,520 −$2.14M 10.0%
IQ Invesco Qqq Tr Unit Ser 1 Trimmed −5,860 −$1.63M 20.9%
VI Vanguard Index Fds S&P 500 ETF Shs Trimmed −4,610 −$1.42M 20.6%
SD SPDR Dow Jones Indl Avrg ETF Ut Ser 1 Trimmed −4,850 −$1.35M 20.7%
Apple Inc New +1,760 +$204K 0.7%
Amgen Inc New +800 +$203K 0.7%
SS Select Sector SPDR Tr Technology New +1,721 +$201K 0.7%

Q2 2020

quarter ended June 30, 2020 · filed August 11, 2020

Company Action Shares changed Value of change % of portfolio
IQ Invesco Qqq Tr Unit Ser 1 Trimmed −8,670 −$2.15M 20.1%
VI Vanguard Index Fds S&P 500 ETF Shs Trimmed −4,960 −$1.41M 19.9%
SD SPDR Dow Jones Indl Avrg ETF Ut Ser 1 Trimmed −4,740 −$1.22M 20.0%
PT Proshares Tr Ultrpro Dow30 Added +19,300 +$1.21M 11.8%
DS Direxion Shs ETF Tr Drx S&P500BULL Added +23,950 +$1M 11.9%
Exxon Mobil Corp Exited −8,177 −$310K —
CN Chevron Corp New Exited −3,156 −$229K —
PT Proshares Tr Ultrapro Qqq Added +580 +$56.6K 12.0%

Q1 2020

quarter ended March 31, 2020 · filed May 15, 2020

Company Action Shares changed Value of change % of portfolio
SD SPDR Dow Jones Indl Avrg ETF Ut Ser 1 Added +4,870 +$1.07M 24.3%
PT Proshares Tr Ultrapro Qqq Trimmed −16,550 −$789K 7.0%
VI Vanguard Index Fds S&P 500 ETF Shs Added +2,970 +$703K 24.4%
PT Proshares Tr Ultrpro Dow30 Added +12,910 +$539K 6.8%
IQ Invesco Qqq Tr Unit Ser 1 Trimmed −1,690 −$322K 24.5%
DS Direxion Shs ETF Tr Drx S&P500BULL Added +7,340 +$191K 6.9%
Exxon Mobil Corp Trimmed −60 −$2.28K 1.1%

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